Using Bayesian Statistics in Operational Testing

This research explored the applicability of Bayesian methods to the problem of determining the reliability of a series system, a parallel system, and a bridge system. The time to failure of each component in each system is assumed to be exponentially distributed. A basic exponential case and a basic binomial case are also evaluated. In general, using simulated data and real data when possible, the Bayesian methods produced confidence intervals that were much tighter than the classical inference methods, thus allowing a decision maker to have higher confidence in making a decision. System level data and aggregated component level data produced a much tighter confidence interval than component level data aggregated to system.Air Force Inst of Tech Wright-Patterson AFB OH is the author of 'Using Bayesian Statistics in Operational Testing', published 1998 under ISBN 9781423563495 and ISBN 1423563492.